Netherlands vs Greece prediction
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Netherlands vs Greece Prediction, Team News & Line-ups

Match preview

Netherlands host Greece in the UEFA Nations League (League A, Group 2 · Matchday 5). Kick-off is at 19:45 UTC on Friday 13 November at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Netherlands come into the game 1st in the table with 8 points, while Greece are 2nd with 8.

Kick-off times and where to watch

RegionLocal time
UTCFri 13 Nov, 19:45
Nairobi / East AfricaFri 13 Nov, 22:45
Lagos / West AfricaFri 13 Nov, 20:45
Cairo / North AfricaFri 13 Nov, 21:45
London (UK)Fri 13 Nov, 19:45
Rome (Italy)Fri 13 Nov, 20:45
New York (US Eastern)Fri 13 Nov, 14:45
IndiaSat 14 Nov, 01:15
ChinaSat 14 Nov, 03:45

TV and streaming

CountryBroadcaster
United KingdomPrime Video (UK)
United StatesFOX One, Fox Sports 1, ViX
EgyptbeIN SPORTS 4
MoroccobeIN SPORTS 4

Team news

Netherlands

  • Brian Brobbey (Injured: Physical Discomfort)
  • Jorrel Hato (Injured: Knock Injury)
  • Nathan Aké (Injured: Hamstring Injury)

Greece

  • Christos Zafeiris (Suspended: Yellow card accumulation suspension)
  • Manolis Saliakas (Suspended: Yellow card accumulation suspension)

Predicted line-ups

These are predicted line-ups, not official team news. The confirmed XI is released about an hour before kick-off.

Netherlands (4-3-3)

  • Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
  • Defenders: Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Jurriën Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Denzel Dumfries
  • Midfielders: Cody Gakpo, Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong, Crysencio Summerville
  • Forwards: Donyell Malen

Prediction confidence: 74%.

Greece (4-4-2)

  • Goalkeeper: Konstantinos Tzolakis
  • Defenders: Kostas Tsimikas, Panagiotis Retsos, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Georgios Vagiannidis
  • Midfielders: Christos Tzolis, Dimitris Kourbelis, Nectarios Triantis, Giorgos Masouras
  • Forwards: Vangelis Pavlidis, Andreas Tetteh

Prediction confidence: 71%.

Recent form

Netherlands: D D W D W

Netherlands have won 2 of their last 5 games (W2 D3 L0), scoring 8 and conceding 6 in all competitions.

Most recent result last.

  • 2026-06-30: D 1-1 home to Morocco (World Cup 2026)
  • 2026-09-24: D 1-1 home to Germany (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-09-27: W 2-1 away to Serbia (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-10-01: D 2-2 away to Greece (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-10-04: W 2-1 home to Serbia (UEFA Nations League)

Greece: L W W D D

Greece have won 2 of their last 5 games (W2 D2 L1), scoring 5 and conceding 4 in all competitions.

Most recent result last.

  • 2026-06-07: L 0-1 home to Italy (International Friendly Games)
  • 2026-09-24: W 2-1 away to Serbia (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-09-27: W 1-0 away to Germany (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-10-01: D 2-2 home to Netherlands (UEFA Nations League)
  • 2026-10-04: D 0-0 home to Germany (UEFA Nations League)

Form covers competitive matches only (qualifiers, Nations League and tournaments). Friendlies are not included.

Head to head

In the 3 meetings on record, Netherlands have won 1, Greece have won 1 and 1 have been drawn, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

Latest meetings:

  • 2026-10-01: Greece 2-2 Netherlands
  • 2016-09-01: Netherlands 1-2 Greece
  • 1980-06-11: Netherlands 1-0 Greece

Table position

Netherlands are 1st with 8 points from 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 5.

Greece are 2nd with 8 points from 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 3.

Match facts

  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam, capacity 55,865)
  • Netherlands manager: Xavi (attacking, usually plays 4-2-3-1)
  • Greece manager: Ivan Jovanović (balanced, usually plays 4-2-3-1)
  • Weather forecast: rain, 10°C

Prediction

OutcomeProbability
Netherlands win62.5%
Draw21.3%
Greece win16.2%

The model expects about 1.60 goals from Netherlands and 1.12 from Greece.

The most likely result is a win for Netherlands at 62.5%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which is not the same as the most likely result because the probability is spread across many different scorelines.

The model gives a 58.4% chance of more than 2.5 goals and a 55.1% chance that both teams score.

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